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Jakarta - The Composite Stock Index Movement (JCI) will continue to fluctuate in the weeks ahead. This is in line with global economic conditions, especially the crisis in Europe. JCI will return 'greening' when it was no certainty of payment of debt of European countries.
JCI will continue to depend on the performance of state-owned companies that have a market capitalization of up to 30%. In recent days emitan stable movement of the red plate to successfully boost the stock index continued to stay in his position.
This was stated by Chief Economist of PT Bank Mandiri Tbk Destri Damayanti in his statement to the detikFinance in Jakarta, Sunday (02/10/2011).
"Market Indonesia is quite affected by global economic uncertainty. Because there is still a fairly high uncertainty in the global pasa," Destri said.
According to him, very hard to predict JCI will move soar with fluctuations remains stable but it will happen next in Europe along with the associated bailout decision. Global market sentiment, continued Destri still be affected by the decision of payment of the debt of European countries which will be due.
"JCI is still characterized by panic selling of the new comer in the retail domestic market. Although Indonesia is fundamentally strong enough but the movement of panic selling from its own domestic investors need to watch out because it will cause the JCI collapse," he explained.
According Destri, the shares will still be a red plate for the support JCI remain stable. However, the ability of state-owned enterprises also need to watch out in corporate actions and performance to continue to maintain its superior stocks.
"It's red plate companies still sustain tingginga JCI. And the performance shows positinya terbantukan JCI will continue, but can last until when? Because as well as the performance of state-owned public companies should continue to refer to profit-oriented or for-profit state-owned enterprises and therefore also must be careful also, "he explained.
According Destry, JCI movement of slow-paced and volatile predicted to continue until the last trading next week.
As is known, currently there are 18 state-owned listed companies on the stock. Where the total market capitalization reached 30% of the market caps in stock. Performance is currently 18 listed companies could be regarded as the support JCI's performance.
Destri added, weakening CSPI does not have an impact mostly on the performance of most of the issuer's state-owned shares on the stock. Currently, investors chasing shares of SOEs, which valued the shares at lower risk than the issuer of the private sector.
"But keep in mind that further the capacity of state enterprises, for which reason the company returned to profit should also be available. Especially SOEs, if not careful in minimizing the losses might be called the KPK," he explained.
Furthermore, the performance of SOEs does look better when government policy put in place to reduce the share of SOE dividends to government. It is intended that SOEs have room for expansion and capital expenditures. SOE issuers in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) or also called the issuer's state-owned enterprises to deposit dividend of Rp 23.29 trillion for fiscal year 2010 performance. This includes interim dividend paid last year.
Dividends are equal 89.57% of the target deposit SOEs this year that have been set by the government as much as Rp 26 trillion.From a total of 18 SOEs to take the floor on the stock, two did not deposit the dividend by reason of the performance. State Enterprises Minister Mustafa Abubakar said the dividend payment in 2011 will be reduced so that enterprises can focus on improving its performance.source: detik.com
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JCI will continue to depend on the performance of state-owned companies that have a market capitalization of up to 30%. In recent days emitan stable movement of the red plate to successfully boost the stock index continued to stay in his position.
This was stated by Chief Economist of PT Bank Mandiri Tbk Destri Damayanti in his statement to the detikFinance in Jakarta, Sunday (02/10/2011).
"Market Indonesia is quite affected by global economic uncertainty. Because there is still a fairly high uncertainty in the global pasa," Destri said.
According to him, very hard to predict JCI will move soar with fluctuations remains stable but it will happen next in Europe along with the associated bailout decision. Global market sentiment, continued Destri still be affected by the decision of payment of the debt of European countries which will be due.
"JCI is still characterized by panic selling of the new comer in the retail domestic market. Although Indonesia is fundamentally strong enough but the movement of panic selling from its own domestic investors need to watch out because it will cause the JCI collapse," he explained.
According Destri, the shares will still be a red plate for the support JCI remain stable. However, the ability of state-owned enterprises also need to watch out in corporate actions and performance to continue to maintain its superior stocks.
"It's red plate companies still sustain tingginga JCI. And the performance shows positinya terbantukan JCI will continue, but can last until when? Because as well as the performance of state-owned public companies should continue to refer to profit-oriented or for-profit state-owned enterprises and therefore also must be careful also, "he explained.
According Destry, JCI movement of slow-paced and volatile predicted to continue until the last trading next week.
As is known, currently there are 18 state-owned listed companies on the stock. Where the total market capitalization reached 30% of the market caps in stock. Performance is currently 18 listed companies could be regarded as the support JCI's performance.
Destri added, weakening CSPI does not have an impact mostly on the performance of most of the issuer's state-owned shares on the stock. Currently, investors chasing shares of SOEs, which valued the shares at lower risk than the issuer of the private sector.
"But keep in mind that further the capacity of state enterprises, for which reason the company returned to profit should also be available. Especially SOEs, if not careful in minimizing the losses might be called the KPK," he explained.
Furthermore, the performance of SOEs does look better when government policy put in place to reduce the share of SOE dividends to government. It is intended that SOEs have room for expansion and capital expenditures. SOE issuers in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) or also called the issuer's state-owned enterprises to deposit dividend of Rp 23.29 trillion for fiscal year 2010 performance. This includes interim dividend paid last year.
Dividends are equal 89.57% of the target deposit SOEs this year that have been set by the government as much as Rp 26 trillion.From a total of 18 SOEs to take the floor on the stock, two did not deposit the dividend by reason of the performance. State Enterprises Minister Mustafa Abubakar said the dividend payment in 2011 will be reduced so that enterprises can focus on improving its performance.source: detik.com
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