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6/9/11

Indonesia Stock Exchange Will "Crash"?

By: Erland DjumenaJAKARTA, Make Money Blog$- The traders and investors Homeland middle despondent lately. Because the outstanding issue is a scourge for the investors, the domestic market will crash.


In a warm conversation in a number of mailing lists of traders, some of the reasons the stock slump was raised. Call it the movement of U.S. and regional exchanges in the past two weeks continued to experience pressure, the higher inflation rate in Asian countries, the end of the distribution of dividends by the issuer, until the trend movements of the Dow Jones which technically is considered critical.
Some traders and investors chose to respond to this issue with a cool head. "Despite the stock crash, if its the right choice, we are still able to benefit. Vice versa, "said one trader. However, not a few of anxiety and panic on this issue so that intends to withdraw all of the portfolio and choose to hold cash.
According to Sinarmas Securities analyst, Jeff Tan, Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) is still will be corrected and will not break the record again in the near future. Only, "yet we can be sure how deep corrections. I think the stock is not to crash. For now, our fundamentals are still strong, "he told KONTAN.
He added, correction of the stock is happening today is more due to external factors. It can be seen from the predicted global economic growth slowed from mid of this year. "The condition occurs due to low economic growth in China, European debt crisis still worsening, the U.S. unemployment rate is still high, and housing prices began to decline," said Jeff Tan.
Similar disclosed by Jimmy Dimas Wahyu, capital markets analyst motivator as well as wealth. According to him, yet there were signs of Indonesian stock market will crash. One indicator, money coming into government securities would increase. "It may be more appropriate to say there is switching from the stock market to the money market. This is done while observing the movement of stock investors, "he added with a smile.
Meanwhile, the correction that occurred in the stock market over the last few days due to sentiment coming from overseas. Call it U.S. economic data that are less satisfactory as the housing sector and non-farm payroll data. "Moreover, Ben S. Bernanke yesterday issued a statement that can be said to be less satisfactory market.Not to mention the problem of Europe, "he explained at length.
Select the profit taking or wait and see?
Jeff then provide recommendations for strategic investors to profit taking today. "I recommend an exit other than because of external factors as well as valuations are high enough," said Jeff.
As for Jimmy urged investors not to panic. "We'd better wait and see first. Make the correction to take chances. Instead of correction means a discount? "He said. In addition, investors should also look at external news because in Indonesia there is no problem. "When the external news that came out positive, it's time our stock market rebound," said Jimmy.
Jeff predicts, until the end of this month the index will move in the range of 3830-3625. While Jimmy predict the movement of the index was at the level of 3811-3850. "I personally still see there is a chance the index will move towards 3900," said Jimmy optimistic.(Barratut taqiyya / Cash)
source: kompas.com
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